|
IMTC Fall
Forum Trip Report
by Kyle Nisenson
I re-learned a
valuable lesson this November. I have been in Telecommunications for
over 7 years, and video for a full 5 years. I have seen both audio
and video come an enormously long way in the last few years, and
really thought I was getting a handle on the way things were, and
the way things are. Then I decided to attend the IMTC Fall Forum in
Keystone Colorado. Nothing like three days of having the world move
under your feet.
The
International Multimedia Telecommunications Consortium (IMTC for
short), is a group of vendors and engineers from the
telecommunications community dedicated to taking the ITU standards
farther. While the ITU (International Telecommunications Union)
defines the standards such as H.320 and H.323, the IMTC ensures that
the standards are being implemented successfully, and that they are
evolving with the marketplace. The IMTC meets live twice a year, and
because the forums are "international", the meetings are
all over the world. This one, as fate would have it, landed in my
back yard.
Now, this is
not the first fall forum I have attended, nor will it be the last,
but this one has certainly been the most eye opening. There are
always a number of speeches that don't pertain or interest what I am
working on. One track focused on operating systems and ended up
being the usual debate between Unix and Windows NT. There were
several tracks on wireless communications, which while interesting,
are a long way from implementation for video. One particularly
painful session focussed on the complications of international
politics and legalities of worldwide telephony standardization. I
will spare you the gory details.
Fortunately
though, there were a number of tracks I found very interesting. A
debate continues to rage on where voice and video over IP are going.
One side firmly believes that H.323 is the way, and speakers
addressed the further development and integration of the Media
Gateway Control Protocol (MGCP) into the standards (soon to be
H.248). A second faction believes that H.323 is just too top heavy
to survive, and instead is pushing the development of a separate
protocol called SIP, or Simple Internet Protocol. Many believe that
it is ridiculous to have teams of engineers developing applications
under separate protocols.
Another track
dove into DSL deployment. Today there are more that 80 service
providers worldwide (and growing) who offer DSL services, and an
estimated 500,000+ connections to date. Aggressive predictions
anticipate 6.6 Million locations connected through DSL by the year
2004. Broadband lives.
One excellent
session addressed studies on IP quality of service. KPN in Europe
has performed some limited voice over IP trials and has surveyed
their customers on opinions of the technology. They were unabashed
with the results. 1/3 of their customers were unsatisfied with the
service of the IP voice, with voice quality being the biggest issue
raised. The offering KPN made to trial customers was a 50% reduction
in cost to standard service. While the offer did trigger some
initial interest, all customer who experienced repeated technical
problems (echo, clipping, loss of bi-direction) quickly switched
back to standard service. The concluding message was that customers
will not sacrifice call quality just for price reduction, and
without a strong economic case it may be near impossible to convince
users of the intelligence of such a switch.
The coup-de'-gras
of the week was the final keynote address. Actually, there were
three lock-notes. Andrew Davis from Wainhouse Consulting, and
Bhawani Shankar from Gartner Group both spoke on the state of the
telecommunications market, and their predictions for the upcoming
millennium. Commentary ranged from free long distance to the death
of the ISP to smart refrigerators, but the keynote that really
grabbed me was the final speech, delivered by Frank Barnes from the
University of Colorado's Masters Program. While the other two
consultants spoke in terms I understood with technologies I had
mostly considered, Mr. Barnes went so far over my head I felt like I
was back in grade school.
Professor
Barnes sees us using organic transportation mediums in the future,
taking from what we have learned from neural networks and how the
brain functions as a powerful medium for everyday communications. He
also sees bit-rate brought down to the atomic level. While I thought
what we were doing today with the breakdown of light signals over
fiber was amazing, he suggests breaking things down to the molecular
level and defining bit functions based on whether single atoms are
present in specific locations. After a week of speeches and
standards discussion, I departed the conference with quite a lasting
impression of the entire event.
The lesson I
walked away with was that we are barely starting down the
evolutionary path of telecommunications, and there are some amazing
things coming down the pipeline. The minds learning in our best
educational programs are not learning the same "old
stuff", but instead considering, investigating, and
implementing some startling new ways of doing things. If we have
learned one thing from the last few years, it is that as
organizations we must be prepared for continued radical changes in
all forms technology, and communications is certainly a big part of
that. Buckle up folks, this ride is just getting started.
You can learn
more on the IMTC at www.imtc.org.
About
Kyle Nisenson
back
to top
© 2000 Global
Crossing Conferencing. All Rights Reserved.
|